On the Edge: 2026 Shaping Up to Be the Warmest Year, Challenging the Paris Agreement

GENEVA – The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has sounded the alarms in its latest weekly report: there is an 80% chance that the global average annual temperature will temporarily exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels during 2026. What was once a future warning has become an immediate reality requiring urgent adaptation measures.

This global warming is not just a statistical number; it translates into extreme phenomena already being felt in the region. The persistence of thermal anomalies in the South Atlantic is altering rainfall patterns in the Southern Cone, causing a violent alternation between flash floods and prolonged droughts that affect biodiversity and food production.

For foundations and environmental organizations, this scenario reinforces the importance of Nature-Based Solutions (NBS). Restoring wetlands and protecting native forests are today the most effective tools to mitigate the impact. Experts agree that the window of opportunity to avoid irreversible changes is closing, and 2026 will be remembered as the year humanity had to choose between inaction or a profound transformation of its energy and consumption patterns.